Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high around 34°C for Taipei on June 18 amid partly cloudy skies and a 90% chance of afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical early-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity and limited diurnal cooling. Recent late-May heat records exceeding 38°C have elevated trader focus on potential urban heat-island amplification and variable steering flows that could allow brief peaks near or above 36°C before convective cooling sets in. Close market pricing between 35°C and 37°C+ reflects uncertainty in mesoscale thunderstorm timing and intensity, which can suppress or briefly enhance surface temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Historical June averages near 33°C provide context, but intraday model spreads and observational updates from stations like Songshan Airport remain key resolution factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 18?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,199 Vol.
$89,199 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,199 Vol.
$89,199 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high around 34°C for Taipei on June 18 amid partly cloudy skies and a 90% chance of afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical early-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity and limited diurnal cooling. Recent late-May heat records exceeding 38°C have elevated trader focus on potential urban heat-island amplification and variable steering flows that could allow brief peaks near or above 36°C before convective cooling sets in. Close market pricing between 35°C and 37°C+ reflects uncertainty in mesoscale thunderstorm timing and intensity, which can suppress or briefly enhance surface temperatures depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Historical June averages near 33°C provide context, but intraday model spreads and observational updates from stations like Songshan Airport remain key resolution factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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