Recent forecasts from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs near 35–37°C in Taipei on June 21 amid typical early-summer conditions, supporting the clustered market odds around 34–36°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies favor afternoon peaks in that range, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum near 34°C. Historical June averages near 33°C and recent May heat records underscore the potential for brief excursions to 37°C or higher if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 21?
38°C or higher 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$69,813 Vol.
$69,813 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
Yes
38°C or higher 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$69,813 Vol.
$69,813 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
28°C or below
$401 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,130 Vol.
No
30°C
$815 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,954 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,932 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,258 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,380 Vol.
No
35°C
$10,134 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,468 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,273 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$13,067 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs near 35–37°C in Taipei on June 21 amid typical early-summer conditions, supporting the clustered market odds around 34–36°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies favor afternoon peaks in that range, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum near 34°C. Historical June averages near 33°C and recent May heat records underscore the potential for brief excursions to 37°C or higher if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$69,813End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs near 35–37°C in Taipei on June 21 amid typical early-summer conditions, supporting the clustered market odds around 34–36°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies favor afternoon peaks in that range, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum near 34°C. Historical June averages near 33°C and recent May heat records underscore the potential for brief excursions to 37°C or higher if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,813End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs near 35–37°C in Taipei on June 21 amid typical early-summer conditions, supporting the clustered market odds around 34–36°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies favor afternoon peaks in that range, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the maximum near 34°C. Historical June averages near 33°C and recent May heat records underscore the potential for brief excursions to 37°C or higher if subsidence strengthens. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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