Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 25–26 °C in Taipei on June 9 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, establishing the market’s near-certain 26 °C outcome. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where mean highs reach 28–30 °C yet are frequently suppressed by monsoonal moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus across regional guidance supports limited diurnal warming, with rain-cooled boundary layers keeping maxima at or below the upper-20s °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger southerly flow that allows greater surface heating, though current observations and short-range ensembles show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 9?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,031 Vol.
$61,031 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,031 Vol.
$61,031 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 25–26 °C in Taipei on June 9 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, establishing the market’s near-certain 26 °C outcome. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where mean highs reach 28–30 °C yet are frequently suppressed by monsoonal moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus across regional guidance supports limited diurnal warming, with rain-cooled boundary layers keeping maxima at or below the upper-20s °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger southerly flow that allows greater surface heating, though current observations and short-range ensembles show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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