The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest short-term forecast has locked trader consensus on a 29°C high for Taipei on May 10, with daytime guidance of 25–28°C under a stabilizing Pacific high-pressure ridge bringing mostly clear skies to northern Taiwan. Current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station— the market's resolution point—show morning temperatures climbing from 22°C amid low 20% precipitation odds, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heat around 28–29°C before evening cooling. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where highs average 27–29°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sea-breeze intrusion or isolated clouds capping at 28°C, though hourly CWA updates through evening provide final clarity as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 10?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,682 Vol.
$67,682 Vol.
May 10, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,682 Vol.
$67,682 Vol.
May 10, 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,900 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,547 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,781 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,081 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,360 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,008 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,590 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,796 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,949 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$9,751 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest short-term forecast has locked trader consensus on a 29°C high for Taipei on May 10, with daytime guidance of 25–28°C under a stabilizing Pacific high-pressure ridge bringing mostly clear skies to northern Taiwan. Current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station— the market's resolution point—show morning temperatures climbing from 22°C amid low 20% precipitation odds, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heat around 28–29°C before evening cooling. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where highs average 27–29°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sea-breeze intrusion or isolated clouds capping at 28°C, though hourly CWA updates through evening provide final clarity as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$67,682End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest short-term forecast has locked trader consensus on a 29°C high for Taipei on May 10, with daytime guidance of 25–28°C under a stabilizing Pacific high-pressure ridge bringing mostly clear skies to northern Taiwan. Current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station— the market's resolution point—show morning temperatures climbing from 22°C amid low 20% precipitation odds, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heat around 28–29°C before evening cooling. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where highs average 27–29°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sea-breeze intrusion or isolated clouds capping at 28°C, though hourly CWA updates through evening provide final clarity as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,682End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest short-term forecast has locked trader consensus on a 29°C high for Taipei on May 10, with daytime guidance of 25–28°C under a stabilizing Pacific high-pressure ridge bringing mostly clear skies to northern Taiwan. Current observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station— the market's resolution point—show morning temperatures climbing from 22°C amid low 20% precipitation odds, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heat around 28–29°C before evening cooling. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where highs average 27–29°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sea-breeze intrusion or isolated clouds capping at 28°C, though hourly CWA updates through evening provide final clarity as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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