Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 22?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
$1,548 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,455 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,135 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,179 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,449 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,196 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,399 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,236 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,767 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$7,812 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$8,470 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Volume
$52,646End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,646End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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