Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the market's resolution source, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 24°C during midday hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from leading agencies, which projected seasonal norms of 22–25°C amid stable high-pressure systems and coastal influences suppressing stronger solar heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc revisions in official records, as historical April highs in Tel Aviv average 23–24°C with low variability in observational datasets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 29?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$175,655 Vol.
$175,655 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$175,655 Vol.
$175,655 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the market's resolution source, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 24°C during midday hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble forecast models from leading agencies, which projected seasonal norms of 22–25°C amid stable high-pressure systems and coastal influences suppressing stronger solar heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc revisions in official records, as historical April highs in Tel Aviv average 23–24°C with low variability in observational datasets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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