Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum of 28°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, routine sea-breeze circulation along the coastal plain, and typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine but limited warm-air advection. This aligns with historical June averages near 28–30°C and overnight lows around 20–22°C that constrain daytime heating. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated nearly all probability on this outcome. Afternoon observations deviating from model consensus or last-minute forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high, though current data show low likelihood of such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$36,052 Vol.
$36,052 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$36,052 Vol.
$36,052 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$695 Vol.
No
26°C
$915 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,920 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,013 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$6,835 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,699 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,060 Vol.
No
32°C
$785 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,155 Vol.
No
34°C
$871 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,103 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum of 28°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, routine sea-breeze circulation along the coastal plain, and typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine but limited warm-air advection. This aligns with historical June averages near 28–30°C and overnight lows around 20–22°C that constrain daytime heating. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated nearly all probability on this outcome. Afternoon observations deviating from model consensus or last-minute forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high, though current data show low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$36,052End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum of 28°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, routine sea-breeze circulation along the coastal plain, and typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine but limited warm-air advection. This aligns with historical June averages near 28–30°C and overnight lows around 20–22°C that constrain daytime heating. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated nearly all probability on this outcome. Afternoon observations deviating from model consensus or last-minute forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high, though current data show low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,052End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum of 28°C in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, routine sea-breeze circulation along the coastal plain, and typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine but limited warm-air advection. This aligns with historical June averages near 28–30°C and overnight lows around 20–22°C that constrain daytime heating. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated nearly all probability on this outcome. Afternoon observations deviating from model consensus or last-minute forecast revisions could still shift the recorded high, though current data show low likelihood of such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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