Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as AccuWeather project a maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderate westerly winds typical of early summer Mediterranean conditions. Seasonal norms place daily highs near 29°C, with recent observations showing no anomalous warming or heat advection that would push peaks higher. Trader consensus clusters on 29–31°C outcomes because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor adjustments could arise from updated sea-breeze timing or localized heating on the coastal plain. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Israel Meteorological Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 25?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,032 Vol.
$40,032 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,032 Vol.
$40,032 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as AccuWeather project a maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderate westerly winds typical of early summer Mediterranean conditions. Seasonal norms place daily highs near 29°C, with recent observations showing no anomalous warming or heat advection that would push peaks higher. Trader consensus clusters on 29–31°C outcomes because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor adjustments could arise from updated sea-breeze timing or localized heating on the coastal plain. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Israel Meteorological Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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