Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicates cloudy skies with scattered showers over Tokyo on June 3, which limits solar heating and supports a daily maximum temperature centered on 21°C. Model consensus aligns closely on these conditions, consistent with early June climatology where average highs reach about 26°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler, more stable readings near the lower end of the seasonal range. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight agreement on observational data and short-term model runs. Modest uncertainty persists around exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized rainfall intensity, factors that could allow the high to edge toward 22–23°C if insolation increases unexpectedly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 3?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$151,557 交易量
$151,557 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$151,557 交易量
$151,557 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicates cloudy skies with scattered showers over Tokyo on June 3, which limits solar heating and supports a daily maximum temperature centered on 21°C. Model consensus aligns closely on these conditions, consistent with early June climatology where average highs reach about 26°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler, more stable readings near the lower end of the seasonal range. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight agreement on observational data and short-term model runs. Modest uncertainty persists around exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized rainfall intensity, factors that could allow the high to edge toward 22–23°C if insolation increases unexpectedly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions