Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 8 at 26°C, with the latest update—issued today—projecting a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies clearing later, aligning with observed peaks from hourly AMeDAS stations and consistent model ensembles showing limited intensification potential. Above-normal May conditions (daily normal 22.8°C) reflect lingering warm air masses, but partial cloud cover caps solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing or downslope winds boosting afternoon temps to 27°C+, though low-altitude moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely; final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 8?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$119,320 वॉल्यूम
$119,320 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$119,320 वॉल्यूम
$119,320 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
17°C or below
$5,569 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$2,576 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$1,937 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$5,692 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$6,226 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$19,345 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$16,315 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$12,289 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$8,518 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$21,604 वॉल्यूम
Yes
27°C or higher
$19,249 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 8 at 26°C, with the latest update—issued today—projecting a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies clearing later, aligning with observed peaks from hourly AMeDAS stations and consistent model ensembles showing limited intensification potential. Above-normal May conditions (daily normal 22.8°C) reflect lingering warm air masses, but partial cloud cover caps solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing or downslope winds boosting afternoon temps to 27°C+, though low-altitude moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely; final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$119,320समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 8 at 26°C, with the latest update—issued today—projecting a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies clearing later, aligning with observed peaks from hourly AMeDAS stations and consistent model ensembles showing limited intensification potential. Above-normal May conditions (daily normal 22.8°C) reflect lingering warm air masses, but partial cloud cover caps solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing or downslope winds boosting afternoon temps to 27°C+, though low-altitude moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely; final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$119,320समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 8 at 26°C, with the latest update—issued today—projecting a daily maximum near 25°C under cloudy skies clearing later, aligning with observed peaks from hourly AMeDAS stations and consistent model ensembles showing limited intensification potential. Above-normal May conditions (daily normal 22.8°C) reflect lingering warm air masses, but partial cloud cover caps solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected full clearing or downslope winds boosting afternoon temps to 27°C+, though low-altitude moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely; final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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