Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on June 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating from scattered showers. This aligns with early-summer climatological norms near 22°C but reflects suppressed insolation and typical June synoptic patterns that narrowed the range, driving near-certain market consensus on the 20°C outcome. European model guidance and agency data had clustered expectations around 20–22°C prior to resolution. Revisions to official station readings or boundary disputes on measurement timing remain the only low-probability factors that could theoretically alter final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 1?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$67,402 Vol.
$67,402 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$67,402 Vol.
$67,402 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations for Warsaw on June 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating from scattered showers. This aligns with early-summer climatological norms near 22°C but reflects suppressed insolation and typical June synoptic patterns that narrowed the range, driving near-certain market consensus on the 20°C outcome. European model guidance and agency data had clustered expectations around 20–22°C prior to resolution. Revisions to official station readings or boundary disputes on measurement timing remain the only low-probability factors that could theoretically alter final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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