Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 10?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,970 Vol.
$50,970 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,970 Vol.
$50,970 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
14°C or below
$602 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,103 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,033 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,129 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,355 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$6,471 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,654 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,989 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,215 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$4,352 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$50,970End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,970End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions