Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,278 Vol.
$58,278 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,278 Vol.
$58,278 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
12°C or below
$523 Vol.
No
13°C
$478 Vol.
No
14°C
$468 Vol.
No
15°C
$478 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,327 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,956 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,764 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,941 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,507 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$8,457 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$11,380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$58,278End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,278End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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