Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 6 show a maximum temperature of 24°C driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies that limit daytime heating beyond this level. This aligns with typical early June climatology in the region, where average highs reach 22°C according to long-term observational records, and short-range models from European weather services exhibit strong consensus with minimal spread. The market's near-certain positioning on 24°C reflects trader assessment of these verified atmospheric patterns and official station data. Late-afternoon convective activity or minor forecast revisions could shift the exact recorded peak by 1°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 6?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$62,792 Vol.
$62,792 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$62,792 Vol.
$62,792 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 6 show a maximum temperature of 24°C driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and mostly clear skies that limit daytime heating beyond this level. This aligns with typical early June climatology in the region, where average highs reach 22°C according to long-term observational records, and short-range models from European weather services exhibit strong consensus with minimal spread. The market's near-certain positioning on 24°C reflects trader assessment of these verified atmospheric patterns and official station data. Late-afternoon convective activity or minor forecast revisions could shift the exact recorded peak by 1°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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