Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
5°C or below
$3,309 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,327 Vol.
No
7°C
$16,354 Vol.
No
8°C
$4,092 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,462 Vol.
No
10°C
$11,569 Vol.
No
11°C
$28,440 Vol.
No
12°C
$79,538 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$29,466 Vol.
No
14°C
$12,940 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$19,322 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$211,818End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$211,818End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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