MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 26?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 Vol.
$84,730 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 Vol.
$84,730 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
11°C or below
$2,648 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,804 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,313 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,451 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,124 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,076 Vol.
No
17°C
$18,006 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$15,262 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,173 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,327 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$3,546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$84,730End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,730End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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