Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 27?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Vol.
$112,531 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$112,531 Vol.
$112,531 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
10°C or below
$3,487 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,713 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,317 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,846 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,177 Vol.
No
15°C
$28,444 Vol.
No
16°C
$27,439 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$9,673 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,578 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,635 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$3,222 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$112,531End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$112,531End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 16°C reached around midday on April 27, under fine skies with light northeasterly winds, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining since early afternoon amid rising cloud cover and sea breeze influences, aligning with forecast model consensus projecting minimal daytime heating in this near-average autumn air mass (historical April highs average 17°C per NIWA records). A realistic challenge would require an improbable late surge from sudden downslope föhn winds clearing skies before sunset at 5:36pm NZST, though current trajectories preclude this; final daily maximum posts after midnight NZST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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