Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 17?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$70,695 Vol.
$70,695 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$70,695 Vol.
$70,695 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
9°C or below
$365 Vol.
No
10°C
$170 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,265 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,801 Vol.
No
13°C
$9,298 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,362 Vol.
No
15°C
$17,061 Vol.
No
16°C
$19,193 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$7,496 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,401 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$283 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$70,695End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,695End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 16°C for Wellington on June 17 because the latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate this precise peak under southerly flow and limited daytime heating typical of mid-winter conditions. Near-average seasonal temperatures for the region, combined with observed trends showing no significant warming anomalies in recent model runs, reinforce this outcome ahead of official verification. While the strong alignment leaves little room for deviation, a last-minute forecast revision from MetService or localized variations around the Kelburn observation site could still shift the recorded high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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