Skip to main content
Market icon
Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026 Winner

Market icon
Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026 Winner

Vitality 44%

Falcons 27.0%

FURIA 21%

Team Spirit 6.5%

Polymarket

$525,902 Vol.

Vitality 44%

Falcons 27.0%

FURIA 21%

Team Spirit 6.5%

Polymarket

$525,902 Vol.

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026? icon

Vitality

$95,151 Vol.

44%

Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? icon

Falcons

$37,326 Vol.

27%

Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? icon

FURIA

$130,764 Vol.

21%

Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026? icon

Team Spirit

$28,040 Vol.

7%

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026? icon

Natus Vincere

$21,375 Vol.

5%

Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026? icon

MOUZ

$26,178 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Team Vitality tops trader consensus at 43% implied probability for IEM Rio 2026 as HLTV world #1, bolstered by ZywOo's AWPer dominance and recent S-Tier triumphs like BLAST Open Rotterdam and PGL Cluj-Napoca wins earlier this year, despite a 1-2 group stage upper final loss to Falcons on April 15 that dropped them to tomorrow's quarterfinal against Natus Vincere. Falcons surged to 26.4% after that upset 2-1 victory over Vitality plus a 2-0 rout of Team Spirit, securing a semifinal bye in the single-elimination playoffs. FURIA holds 20.5% leveraging home-crowd energy at Farmasi Arena, dominating Group B with 2-1 over NaVi and 2-0 shutout of MOUZ to earn their semifinal seed, while Spirit (6.5%), NaVi (5%), and MOUZ (3.2%) face tougher lower-seed paths amid recent lower-bracket grinds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$525,902
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Team Vitality tops trader consensus at 43% implied probability for IEM Rio 2026 as HLTV world #1, bolstered by ZywOo's AWPer dominance and recent S-Tier triumphs like BLAST Open Rotterdam and PGL Cluj-Napoca wins earlier this year, despite a 1-2 group stage upper final loss to Falcons on April 15 that dropped them to tomorrow's quarterfinal against Natus Vincere. Falcons surged to 26.4% after that upset 2-1 victory over Vitality plus a 2-0 rout of Team Spirit, securing a semifinal bye in the single-elimination playoffs. FURIA holds 20.5% leveraging home-crowd energy at Farmasi Arena, dominating Group B with 2-1 over NaVi and 2-0 shutout of MOUZ to earn their semifinal seed, while Spirit (6.5%), NaVi (5%), and MOUZ (3.2%) face tougher lower-seed paths amid recent lower-bracket grinds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$525,902
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

51%
Market icon

Will Solary win EMEA Masters 2026 Winter?

48%
Market icon

Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IEM Rio 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitality" at 44%, followed by "Falcons" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" has generated $525.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IEM Rio 2026 Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" is "Vitality" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Falcons" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.