Team Vitality leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the IEM Rio 2026 CS2 title, driven by their HLTV world #1 ranking as of April 13 and dominant 2026 form, including the IEM Kraków 2026 championship over FURIA in the grand final plus a 31-match playoff streak. Falcons follow at 28.1% after strong showings like recent group stage clashes against Vitality and elimination of MOUZ at Kraków, bolstered by consistent top-4 finishes. FURIA's 16.5% reflects home-soil momentum in Rio as Americas Valve #1, despite the Kraków runner-up, while Team Spirit (7.2%), NaVi (5.5%), and MOUZ (4.0%) trail amid inconsistent recent brackets and lower HLTV standings. Ongoing playoff matchups could shift the wisdom of crowds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIEM Rio 2026 Winner
IEM Rio 2026 Winner
Vitality 42%
Falcons 28.1%
FURIA 17%
Team Spirit 7.2%
$554,516 Vol.
$554,516 Vol.

Vitality
42%

Falcons
28%

FURIA
17%

Team Spirit
7%

Natus Vincere
5%

MOUZ
4%
Vitality 42%
Falcons 28.1%
FURIA 17%
Team Spirit 7.2%
$554,516 Vol.
$554,516 Vol.

Vitality
42%

Falcons
28%

FURIA
17%

Team Spirit
7%

Natus Vincere
5%

MOUZ
4%
If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team Vitality leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the IEM Rio 2026 CS2 title, driven by their HLTV world #1 ranking as of April 13 and dominant 2026 form, including the IEM Kraków 2026 championship over FURIA in the grand final plus a 31-match playoff streak. Falcons follow at 28.1% after strong showings like recent group stage clashes against Vitality and elimination of MOUZ at Kraków, bolstered by consistent top-4 finishes. FURIA's 16.5% reflects home-soil momentum in Rio as Americas Valve #1, despite the Kraków runner-up, while Team Spirit (7.2%), NaVi (5.5%), and MOUZ (4.0%) trail amid inconsistent recent brackets and lower HLTV standings. Ongoing playoff matchups could shift the wisdom of crowds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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