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Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

Market icon

Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

150k-175k 54%

<150k 33%

175k-200k 7%

275k-300k 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW

150k-175k 54%

<150k 33%

175k-200k 7%

275k-300k 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<150k

$3,219 Vol.

37%

150k-175k

$1,237 Vol.

54%

175k-200k

$734 Vol.

7%

200k-225k

$565 Vol.

7%

225k-250k

$532 Vol.

5%

250k-275k

$880 Vol.

6%

275k-300k

$631 Vol.

5%

300k+

$440 Vol.

2%

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units in the 150k-175k range at 53.5% implied probability, with under 150k close behind at 38.5%, reflecting tempered expectations post its March 28 release amid a lack of traditional promo rollout. Strong streaming debut—33-57 million Spotify streams on day one, the biggest for a rapper this year—bolsters totals via stream-equivalent albums (SEA), but low pure sales projections around 90-100k per Kalshi, a scathing Pitchfork 3.4/10 review criticizing its forced comeback vibe, and Ye's recent precedents like Vultures 1's 148k debut have cooled hype from pre-release 250k-275k forecasts by Hits Daily Double. Watch midweek tracking updates for shifts before Billboard chart lock.

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$8,239
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units in the 150k-175k range at 53.5% implied probability, with under 150k close behind at 38.5%, reflecting tempered expectations post its March 28 release amid a lack of traditional promo rollout. Strong streaming debut—33-57 million Spotify streams on day one, the biggest for a rapper this year—bolsters totals via stream-equivalent albums (SEA), but low pure sales projections around 90-100k per Kalshi, a scathing Pitchfork 3.4/10 review criticizing its forced comeback vibe, and Ye's recent precedents like Vultures 1's 148k debut have cooled hype from pre-release 250k-275k forecasts by Hits Daily Double. Watch midweek tracking updates for shifts before Billboard chart lock.

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$8,239
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "150k-175k" at 54%, followed by "<150k" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is "150k-175k" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<150k" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.