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icon for Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

icon for Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

47% chance
Polymarket
NEW
47% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No holds a 60.5% market-implied probability** because the market resolves Yes only if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry, Tom Holland and Zendaya marry, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner get engaged—all by December 31, 2026. Swift and Kelce’s August 2025 engagement and reported summer 2026 wedding plans give that leg the strongest momentum, yet Zendaya’s packed film schedule has slowed Holland-Zendaya wedding progress after their late-2024 engagement, while Chalamet-Jenner remain the clearest outlier with limited public signals pointing to an imminent engagement. Traders view the requirement that every couple clear its milestone as the decisive factor keeping Yes odds suppressed. Key near-term catalysts include any Swift-Kelce wedding confirmation, guild or awards-related scheduling updates that could free Zendaya’s calendar, and verified reports on Chalamet-Jenner relationship milestones.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,949
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No holds a 60.5% market-implied probability** because the market resolves Yes only if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry, Tom Holland and Zendaya marry, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner get engaged—all by December 31, 2026. Swift and Kelce’s August 2025 engagement and reported summer 2026 wedding plans give that leg the strongest momentum, yet Zendaya’s packed film schedule has slowed Holland-Zendaya wedding progress after their late-2024 engagement, while Chalamet-Jenner remain the clearest outlier with limited public signals pointing to an imminent engagement. Traders view the requirement that every couple clear its milestone as the decisive factor keeping Yes odds suppressed. Key near-term catalysts include any Swift-Kelce wedding confirmation, guild or awards-related scheduling updates that could free Zendaya’s calendar, and verified reports on Chalamet-Jenner relationship milestones.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,949
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 47% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 47¢, the market collectively assigns a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Love Wins: 2026 Edition," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is 47% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.