Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong southerly flow and a hot airmass with minimal cloud cover or rain, keeps overnight lows elevated and positions 86–87°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s minimum temperature on August 24. Official NWS and AccuWeather guidance shows daily lows holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid highs exceeding 100°F, consistent with the current heat wave that has suppressed typical August cooling. Model consensus favors continued warm nights without a frontal passage until later in the week, though any increase in humidity, scattered showers, or slight steering changes could nudge readings a degree or two. Historical August minima average near 76°F, underscoring how anomalous current conditions remain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
86-87°F 58%
96-97°F 40%
98°F or higher 40%
88-89°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
29%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
58%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
40%
98°F or higher
40%
86-87°F 58%
96-97°F 40%
98°F or higher 40%
88-89°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$25 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
58%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
18%
92-93°F
$55 Vol.
17%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
40%
98°F or higher
$185 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong southerly flow and a hot airmass with minimal cloud cover or rain, keeps overnight lows elevated and positions 86–87°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s minimum temperature on August 24. Official NWS and AccuWeather guidance shows daily lows holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid highs exceeding 100°F, consistent with the current heat wave that has suppressed typical August cooling. Model consensus favors continued warm nights without a frontal passage until later in the week, though any increase in humidity, scattered showers, or slight steering changes could nudge readings a degree or two. Historical August minima average near 76°F, underscoring how anomalous current conditions remain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$286End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong southerly flow and a hot airmass with minimal cloud cover or rain, keeps overnight lows elevated and positions 86–87°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s minimum temperature on August 24. Official NWS and AccuWeather guidance shows daily lows holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid highs exceeding 100°F, consistent with the current heat wave that has suppressed typical August cooling. Model consensus favors continued warm nights without a frontal passage until later in the week, though any increase in humidity, scattered showers, or slight steering changes could nudge readings a degree or two. Historical August minima average near 76°F, underscoring how anomalous current conditions remain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$286End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across North Texas, driven by a strong southerly flow and a hot airmass with minimal cloud cover or rain, keeps overnight lows elevated and positions 86–87°F as the market favorite for Dallas’s minimum temperature on August 24. Official NWS and AccuWeather guidance shows daily lows holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid highs exceeding 100°F, consistent with the current heat wave that has suppressed typical August cooling. Model consensus favors continued warm nights without a frontal passage until later in the week, though any increase in humidity, scattered showers, or slight steering changes could nudge readings a degree or two. Historical August minima average near 76°F, underscoring how anomalous current conditions remain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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