Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Dallas will likely see a high of 105–108°F on August 23, 2026, amid a persistent regional heatwave with above-average temperatures and light southerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus, supported by recent observations of 104–105°F on August 19 and daily maxima near 100–107°F through mid-August, positions the 106–107°F bin as the market leader while keeping 108–109°F competitive. A potential tropical moisture surge noted in long-range guidance could introduce afternoon clouds or isolated storms, introducing modest uncertainty around intensification or suppression of peak readings. Official resolution will rely on National Weather Service station data for the calendar day high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 26%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 6%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
26%
110-111°F
6%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 26%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 6%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
26%
110-111°F
6%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Dallas will likely see a high of 105–108°F on August 23, 2026, amid a persistent regional heatwave with above-average temperatures and light southerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus, supported by recent observations of 104–105°F on August 19 and daily maxima near 100–107°F through mid-August, positions the 106–107°F bin as the market leader while keeping 108–109°F competitive. A potential tropical moisture surge noted in long-range guidance could introduce afternoon clouds or isolated storms, introducing modest uncertainty around intensification or suppression of peak readings. Official resolution will rely on National Weather Service station data for the calendar day high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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