Trader sentiment centers on the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes because late-August monsoon conditions in Karachi typically produce afternoon highs near 32°C under the moderating influence of strong southwesterly sea breezes at 20–30 km/h. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates note persistent humid air masses with dew points near 27°C and limited daytime heating from cloud cover or scattered showers, keeping maxima at the lower end of the 30–34°C climatological range. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather shows little day-to-day variability through August 24, with only modest shifts in wind speed or cloud fraction able to tip the peak by 1°C. Historical analogs from the past week confirm settlement at 32°C when similar sea-breeze regimes prevailed, underscoring the narrow margin traders are pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
32°C 41%
33°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C
41%
33°C
32%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
33°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
5%
31°C
$87 Vol.
6%
32°C
$115 Vol.
41%
33°C
$153 Vol.
32%
34°C
$86 Vol.
17%
35°C
$6 Vol.
4%
36°C
$5 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes because late-August monsoon conditions in Karachi typically produce afternoon highs near 32°C under the moderating influence of strong southwesterly sea breezes at 20–30 km/h. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates note persistent humid air masses with dew points near 27°C and limited daytime heating from cloud cover or scattered showers, keeping maxima at the lower end of the 30–34°C climatological range. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather shows little day-to-day variability through August 24, with only modest shifts in wind speed or cloud fraction able to tip the peak by 1°C. Historical analogs from the past week confirm settlement at 32°C when similar sea-breeze regimes prevailed, underscoring the narrow margin traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$518End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes because late-August monsoon conditions in Karachi typically produce afternoon highs near 32°C under the moderating influence of strong southwesterly sea breezes at 20–30 km/h. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates note persistent humid air masses with dew points near 27°C and limited daytime heating from cloud cover or scattered showers, keeping maxima at the lower end of the 30–34°C climatological range. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather shows little day-to-day variability through August 24, with only modest shifts in wind speed or cloud fraction able to tip the peak by 1°C. Historical analogs from the past week confirm settlement at 32°C when similar sea-breeze regimes prevailed, underscoring the narrow margin traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$518End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes because late-August monsoon conditions in Karachi typically produce afternoon highs near 32°C under the moderating influence of strong southwesterly sea breezes at 20–30 km/h. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates note persistent humid air masses with dew points near 27°C and limited daytime heating from cloud cover or scattered showers, keeping maxima at the lower end of the 30–34°C climatological range. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather shows little day-to-day variability through August 24, with only modest shifts in wind speed or cloud fraction able to tip the peak by 1°C. Historical analogs from the past week confirm settlement at 32°C when similar sea-breeze regimes prevailed, underscoring the narrow margin traders are pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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