Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou show high uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures on August 22, with model spreads centering on 33–36 °C under active East Asian monsoon flow. This drives the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C as the leading outcomes. Key differentiating factors include convective timing and cloud-cover extent, which modulate surface insolation and boundary-layer moisture; earlier or widespread thunderstorms enhance evaporative cooling and suppress maxima, while delayed activity permits stronger diurnal heating. High humidity and regional steering patterns further influence outcomes relative to the August climatological average near 33 °C. Traders monitor the latest CMA and regional model updates ahead of resolution by official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
35°C 31%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
15%
34°C
25%
35°C
31%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
4%
35°C 31%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$216 Vol.
1%
30°C
$146 Vol.
1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
2%
32°C
$15 Vol.
5%
33°C
$35 Vol.
15%
34°C
$36 Vol.
25%
35°C
$25 Vol.
31%
36°C
$122 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$2,130 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou show high uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures on August 22, with model spreads centering on 33–36 °C under active East Asian monsoon flow. This drives the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C as the leading outcomes. Key differentiating factors include convective timing and cloud-cover extent, which modulate surface insolation and boundary-layer moisture; earlier or widespread thunderstorms enhance evaporative cooling and suppress maxima, while delayed activity permits stronger diurnal heating. High humidity and regional steering patterns further influence outcomes relative to the August climatological average near 33 °C. Traders monitor the latest CMA and regional model updates ahead of resolution by official station observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,495End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou show high uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures on August 22, with model spreads centering on 33–36 °C under active East Asian monsoon flow. This drives the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C as the leading outcomes. Key differentiating factors include convective timing and cloud-cover extent, which modulate surface insolation and boundary-layer moisture; earlier or widespread thunderstorms enhance evaporative cooling and suppress maxima, while delayed activity permits stronger diurnal heating. High humidity and regional steering patterns further influence outcomes relative to the August climatological average near 33 °C. Traders monitor the latest CMA and regional model updates ahead of resolution by official station observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,495End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou show high uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures on August 22, with model spreads centering on 33–36 °C under active East Asian monsoon flow. This drives the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C as the leading outcomes. Key differentiating factors include convective timing and cloud-cover extent, which modulate surface insolation and boundary-layer moisture; earlier or widespread thunderstorms enhance evaporative cooling and suppress maxima, while delayed activity permits stronger diurnal heating. High humidity and regional steering patterns further influence outcomes relative to the August climatological average near 33 °C. Traders monitor the latest CMA and regional model updates ahead of resolution by official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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