**Trader consensus centers on 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature in Taipei on August 20, reflecting short-term forecast model runs and typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance for August 20 projects daytime highs of 26–34°C, consistent with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent daily peaks near 34°C. Factors supporting these levels include persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and weak steering patterns that limit rapid cooling or intensification. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup is currently indicated for the period, keeping extreme outliers (36°C+) at low implied probability while capping downside risk below 32°C. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts from regional monitoring will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 20?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 20?
34°C 46%
33°C 25%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
10%
33°C
25%
34°C
46%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
5%
34°C 46%
33°C 25%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$117 Vol.
2%
31°C
$18 Vol.
6%
32°C
$18 Vol.
10%
33°C
$44 Vol.
25%
34°C
$70 Vol.
46%
35°C
$183 Vol.
16%
36°C or higher
$33 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature in Taipei on August 20, reflecting short-term forecast model runs and typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance for August 20 projects daytime highs of 26–34°C, consistent with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent daily peaks near 34°C. Factors supporting these levels include persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and weak steering patterns that limit rapid cooling or intensification. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup is currently indicated for the period, keeping extreme outliers (36°C+) at low implied probability while capping downside risk below 32°C. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts from regional monitoring will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$972End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature in Taipei on August 20, reflecting short-term forecast model runs and typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance for August 20 projects daytime highs of 26–34°C, consistent with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent daily peaks near 34°C. Factors supporting these levels include persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and weak steering patterns that limit rapid cooling or intensification. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup is currently indicated for the period, keeping extreme outliers (36°C+) at low implied probability while capping downside risk below 32°C. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts from regional monitoring will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$972End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature in Taipei on August 20, reflecting short-term forecast model runs and typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance for August 20 projects daytime highs of 26–34°C, consistent with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent daily peaks near 34°C. Factors supporting these levels include persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and weak steering patterns that limit rapid cooling or intensification. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric setup is currently indicated for the period, keeping extreme outliers (36°C+) at low implied probability while capping downside risk below 32°C. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts from regional monitoring will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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