Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Chongqing’s August 18 high because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability around the city’s typical mid-August peak. Subtropical conditions—high humidity, weak steering flow, and the urban heat-island effect along the Yangtze–Jialing confluence—normally support afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, with recent observations confirming 32–36 °C readings under mostly sunny skies. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any monsoon-related showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, producing the tight market split. NOAA and regional ensemble guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear updates on these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
$93 Vol.
5%
32°C
$60 Vol.
7%
33°C
$91 Vol.
13%
34°C
$133 Vol.
29%
35°C
$103 Vol.
27%
36°C
$79 Vol.
14%
37°C
$78 Vol.
7%
38°C
$176 Vol.
2%
39°C
$11 Vol.
1%
40°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$64 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Chongqing’s August 18 high because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability around the city’s typical mid-August peak. Subtropical conditions—high humidity, weak steering flow, and the urban heat-island effect along the Yangtze–Jialing confluence—normally support afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, with recent observations confirming 32–36 °C readings under mostly sunny skies. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any monsoon-related showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, producing the tight market split. NOAA and regional ensemble guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear updates on these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,008End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Chongqing’s August 18 high because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability around the city’s typical mid-August peak. Subtropical conditions—high humidity, weak steering flow, and the urban heat-island effect along the Yangtze–Jialing confluence—normally support afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, with recent observations confirming 32–36 °C readings under mostly sunny skies. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any monsoon-related showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, producing the tight market split. NOAA and regional ensemble guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear updates on these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,008End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Chongqing’s August 18 high because short-range models show only modest day-to-day variability around the city’s typical mid-August peak. Subtropical conditions—high humidity, weak steering flow, and the urban heat-island effect along the Yangtze–Jialing confluence—normally support afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C, with recent observations confirming 32–36 °C readings under mostly sunny skies. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any monsoon-related showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, producing the tight market split. NOAA and regional ensemble guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear updates on these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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