Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
29°C 39%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 39%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$87 Vol.
2%
27°C
$182 Vol.
7%
28°C
$171 Vol.
20%
29°C
$927 Vol.
39%
30°C
$531 Vol.
27%
31°C
$276 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$673 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,118End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,118End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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