Recent short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 14 August 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 14 °C outcome. August climatology features average highs near 12–13 °C under cool maritime air from prevailing westerly and southerly flows; a moderating northerly influence and frontal timing currently support modest warming while elevated winds and cloud cover limit further rises. Recent days recorded maxima of only 10–12 °C amid stronger southerlies, but the latest model consensus shows improving conditions. Traders price the narrow 13–15 °C spread because small shifts in wind direction or frontal passage could still alter the peak by 1 °C, with official MetService updates expected to refine guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
14°C 51%
13°C 34%
15°C 11%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
34%
14°C
51%
15°C
11%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
13°C 34%
15°C 11%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$67 Vol.
7%
13°C
$180 Vol.
34%
14°C
$405 Vol.
51%
15°C
$14 Vol.
11%
16°C
$40 Vol.
3%
17°C
$7 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 14 August 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 14 °C outcome. August climatology features average highs near 12–13 °C under cool maritime air from prevailing westerly and southerly flows; a moderating northerly influence and frontal timing currently support modest warming while elevated winds and cloud cover limit further rises. Recent days recorded maxima of only 10–12 °C amid stronger southerlies, but the latest model consensus shows improving conditions. Traders price the narrow 13–15 °C spread because small shifts in wind direction or frontal passage could still alter the peak by 1 °C, with official MetService updates expected to refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,784End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 14 August 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 14 °C outcome. August climatology features average highs near 12–13 °C under cool maritime air from prevailing westerly and southerly flows; a moderating northerly influence and frontal timing currently support modest warming while elevated winds and cloud cover limit further rises. Recent days recorded maxima of only 10–12 °C amid stronger southerlies, but the latest model consensus shows improving conditions. Traders price the narrow 13–15 °C spread because small shifts in wind direction or frontal passage could still alter the peak by 1 °C, with official MetService updates expected to refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,784End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 14 August 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 14 °C outcome. August climatology features average highs near 12–13 °C under cool maritime air from prevailing westerly and southerly flows; a moderating northerly influence and frontal timing currently support modest warming while elevated winds and cloud cover limit further rises. Recent days recorded maxima of only 10–12 °C amid stronger southerlies, but the latest model consensus shows improving conditions. Traders price the narrow 13–15 °C spread because small shifts in wind direction or frontal passage could still alter the peak by 1 °C, with official MetService updates expected to refine guidance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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