Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Busan on August 12, with low precipitation probability and partly cloudy skies moderating solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because coastal sea breezes and the North Pacific High maintain typical mid-August conditions, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Differentiation between 30°C and 32°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon wind shifts, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 12?
31°C 37%
30°C 32%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
32%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 32%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
1%
28°C
$118 Vol.
2%
29°C
$109 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,745 Vol.
32%
31°C
$212 Vol.
37%
32°C
$183 Vol.
18%
33°C
$115 Vol.
6%
34°C
$30 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$163 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Busan on August 12, with low precipitation probability and partly cloudy skies moderating solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because coastal sea breezes and the North Pacific High maintain typical mid-August conditions, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Differentiation between 30°C and 32°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon wind shifts, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,408End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Busan on August 12, with low precipitation probability and partly cloudy skies moderating solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because coastal sea breezes and the North Pacific High maintain typical mid-August conditions, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Differentiation between 30°C and 32°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon wind shifts, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,408End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Busan on August 12, with low precipitation probability and partly cloudy skies moderating solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because coastal sea breezes and the North Pacific High maintain typical mid-August conditions, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Differentiation between 30°C and 32°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon wind shifts, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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