Recent model consensus from regional forecasts supports highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 10, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to those bins amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical ridge influence and the urban heat island effect within the Taipei basin favor elevated maxima, while variable cloud cover and potential afternoon convection could cap peaks near historical August averages of 33–34°C. Recent observations, including a 37°C reading on August 5, underscore short-term variability in insolation and humidity that differentiates the closely matched leading outcomes, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation likely to tip resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 10?
36°C 30%
35°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 14%
$12,897 Vol.
$12,897 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
18%
35°C
28%
36°C
30%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 30%
35°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 14%
$12,897 Vol.
$12,897 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
18%
35°C
28%
36°C
30%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts supports highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 10, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to those bins amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical ridge influence and the urban heat island effect within the Taipei basin favor elevated maxima, while variable cloud cover and potential afternoon convection could cap peaks near historical August averages of 33–34°C. Recent observations, including a 37°C reading on August 5, underscore short-term variability in insolation and humidity that differentiates the closely matched leading outcomes, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation likely to tip resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions