Latest European model ensembles, including Météo-France and ECMWF runs, point to a 31–34°C range for Paris on August 10 under a building high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited low-level moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 32°C (36.5%) and 33°C (29.5%). These conditions favor modest daytime heating above seasonal normals without strong advection or convective cooling. Minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud cover keeps lower-probability outcomes like 31°C or 34°C viable until final 48-hour guidance sharpens. Traders monitor the next Météo-France bulletin and updated 00Z/12Z runs for resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 36%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
5%
31°C
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$40 Vol.
5%
31°C
$37 Vol.
17%
32°C
$26 Vol.
36%
33°C
$6 Vol.
30%
34°C
$2 Vol.
12%
35°C
$51 Vol.
5%
36°C
$17 Vol.
2%
37°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$469 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including Météo-France and ECMWF runs, point to a 31–34°C range for Paris on August 10 under a building high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited low-level moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 32°C (36.5%) and 33°C (29.5%). These conditions favor modest daytime heating above seasonal normals without strong advection or convective cooling. Minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud cover keeps lower-probability outcomes like 31°C or 34°C viable until final 48-hour guidance sharpens. Traders monitor the next Météo-France bulletin and updated 00Z/12Z runs for resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,304End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including Météo-France and ECMWF runs, point to a 31–34°C range for Paris on August 10 under a building high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited low-level moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 32°C (36.5%) and 33°C (29.5%). These conditions favor modest daytime heating above seasonal normals without strong advection or convective cooling. Minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud cover keeps lower-probability outcomes like 31°C or 34°C viable until final 48-hour guidance sharpens. Traders monitor the next Météo-France bulletin and updated 00Z/12Z runs for resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,304End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model ensembles, including Météo-France and ECMWF runs, point to a 31–34°C range for Paris on August 10 under a building high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northerly flow, and limited low-level moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 32°C (36.5%) and 33°C (29.5%). These conditions favor modest daytime heating above seasonal normals without strong advection or convective cooling. Minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud cover keeps lower-probability outcomes like 31°C or 34°C viable until final 48-hour guidance sharpens. Traders monitor the next Météo-France bulletin and updated 00Z/12Z runs for resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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