Latest forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers over Shanghai on August 8, moderating peak heating and anchoring trader focus on the narrow 32–33°C range. Subtropical moisture and typical August monsoon influences introduce variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the official station measurement captures urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy conditions. Historical climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31–32°C with frequent convective activity, supporting the tight spread; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any precipitation relative to the daily maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced convection pushes the outcome lower or allows clearer skies for a 33°C peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
32°C 37%
33°C 34%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
37%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
33°C 34%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$75 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$75 Vol.
1%
29°C
$96 Vol.
1%
30°C
$964 Vol.
4%
31°C
$696 Vol.
19%
32°C
$310 Vol.
37%
33°C
$161 Vol.
34%
34°C
$162 Vol.
11%
35°C
$137 Vol.
2%
36°C
$16 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers over Shanghai on August 8, moderating peak heating and anchoring trader focus on the narrow 32–33°C range. Subtropical moisture and typical August monsoon influences introduce variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the official station measurement captures urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy conditions. Historical climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31–32°C with frequent convective activity, supporting the tight spread; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any precipitation relative to the daily maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced convection pushes the outcome lower or allows clearer skies for a 33°C peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,703End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers over Shanghai on August 8, moderating peak heating and anchoring trader focus on the narrow 32–33°C range. Subtropical moisture and typical August monsoon influences introduce variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the official station measurement captures urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy conditions. Historical climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31–32°C with frequent convective activity, supporting the tight spread; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any precipitation relative to the daily maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced convection pushes the outcome lower or allows clearer skies for a 33°C peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,703End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers over Shanghai on August 8, moderating peak heating and anchoring trader focus on the narrow 32–33°C range. Subtropical moisture and typical August monsoon influences introduce variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the official station measurement captures urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy conditions. Historical climatology shows mean daily maxima near 31–32°C with frequent convective activity, supporting the tight spread; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any precipitation relative to the daily maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced convection pushes the outcome lower or allows clearer skies for a 33°C peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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