**Current forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and BBC points to a daily maximum near 34°C in Shanghai on August 6, driven by scattered thundershowers, increasing cloud cover, and a moderating steering pattern after several days of 35–37°C readings.** This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, with implied probabilities reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal heating under humid subtropical conditions tempered by precipitation chances. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly and limited typhoon influence keep extremes above 35°C less likely. Key resolution factors include official station observations for the calendar day maximum; any late-model shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final reading within the narrow 32–35°C range now dominating sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 7%
NEW
$19,366 Vol.
NEW
$19,366 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
48%
34°C
31%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 7%
NEW
$19,366 Vol.
NEW
$19,366 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,708 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,820 Vol.
16%
33°C
$2,101 Vol.
48%
34°C
$3,578 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,744 Vol.
7%
36°C
$992 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$829 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and BBC points to a daily maximum near 34°C in Shanghai on August 6, driven by scattered thundershowers, increasing cloud cover, and a moderating steering pattern after several days of 35–37°C readings.** This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, with implied probabilities reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal heating under humid subtropical conditions tempered by precipitation chances. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly and limited typhoon influence keep extremes above 35°C less likely. Key resolution factors include official station observations for the calendar day maximum; any late-model shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final reading within the narrow 32–35°C range now dominating sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,366End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and BBC points to a daily maximum near 34°C in Shanghai on August 6, driven by scattered thundershowers, increasing cloud cover, and a moderating steering pattern after several days of 35–37°C readings.** This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, with implied probabilities reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal heating under humid subtropical conditions tempered by precipitation chances. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly and limited typhoon influence keep extremes above 35°C less likely. Key resolution factors include official station observations for the calendar day maximum; any late-model shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final reading within the narrow 32–35°C range now dominating sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,366End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and BBC points to a daily maximum near 34°C in Shanghai on August 6, driven by scattered thundershowers, increasing cloud cover, and a moderating steering pattern after several days of 35–37°C readings.** This positions the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as market leaders, with implied probabilities reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal heating under humid subtropical conditions tempered by precipitation chances. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly and limited typhoon influence keep extremes above 35°C less likely. Key resolution factors include official station observations for the calendar day maximum; any late-model shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final reading within the narrow 32–35°C range now dominating sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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