**Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze circulation is the main factor keeping trader consensus tightly split between 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s August 7 maximum.** Seasonal averages place daily highs near 31–32°C, but above-normal temperatures expected through the July–September period, combined with ongoing monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, create a narrow range around these values. Recent early-August showers and increased cloudiness have already moderated readings, while the position of the monsoon trough and any lingering convective activity on the 7th will determine whether peak insolation pushes the official PMD station reading one degree higher. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences in wind and moisture, leaving little room for outcomes outside 33–34°C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 7?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 7?
33°C 42%
34°C 42%
35°C 13%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
42%
34°C
42%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 42%
35°C 13%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$234 Vol.
3%
31°C
$27 Vol.
8%
32°C
$11 Vol.
8%
33°C
$77 Vol.
42%
34°C
$121 Vol.
42%
35°C
$118 Vol.
13%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$3 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze circulation is the main factor keeping trader consensus tightly split between 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s August 7 maximum.** Seasonal averages place daily highs near 31–32°C, but above-normal temperatures expected through the July–September period, combined with ongoing monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, create a narrow range around these values. Recent early-August showers and increased cloudiness have already moderated readings, while the position of the monsoon trough and any lingering convective activity on the 7th will determine whether peak insolation pushes the official PMD station reading one degree higher. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences in wind and moisture, leaving little room for outcomes outside 33–34°C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$590End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze circulation is the main factor keeping trader consensus tightly split between 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s August 7 maximum.** Seasonal averages place daily highs near 31–32°C, but above-normal temperatures expected through the July–September period, combined with ongoing monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, create a narrow range around these values. Recent early-August showers and increased cloudiness have already moderated readings, while the position of the monsoon trough and any lingering convective activity on the 7th will determine whether peak insolation pushes the official PMD station reading one degree higher. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences in wind and moisture, leaving little room for outcomes outside 33–34°C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$590End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze circulation is the main factor keeping trader consensus tightly split between 33°C and 34°C for Karachi’s August 7 maximum.** Seasonal averages place daily highs near 31–32°C, but above-normal temperatures expected through the July–September period, combined with ongoing monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, create a narrow range around these values. Recent early-August showers and increased cloudiness have already moderated readings, while the position of the monsoon trough and any lingering convective activity on the 7th will determine whether peak insolation pushes the official PMD station reading one degree higher. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day differences in wind and moisture, leaving little room for outcomes outside 33–34°C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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