**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 7 high temperature centers on a post-heatwave cooling trend, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 22–23°C under moderating high pressure and a shift toward cooler northerly flow.** After peak readings of 30–33°C on August 3–4 driven by warm easterly advection and clear skies, European guidance from KNMI, ECMWF, and the Met Office shows a steady decline. Recent runs indicate daytime highs falling to around 20–22°C by August 7, with mostly fair conditions, light winds, and minimal precipitation that limits further warming or cooling extremes. The tight clustering around 22°C (34%) and 23°C (38%) versus 24°C (15%) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any weak frontal influence—small differences in these variables can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the strong market weighting on 22–23°C aligns with the current short-range forecast consensus rather than climatology alone. New model updates and observational data through August 6 will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
$29 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
8%
21°C
$139 Vol.
9%
22°C
$20 Vol.
34%
23°C
$52 Vol.
38%
24°C
$15 Vol.
16%
25°C
$6 Vol.
6%
26°C
$32 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$527 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 7 high temperature centers on a post-heatwave cooling trend, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 22–23°C under moderating high pressure and a shift toward cooler northerly flow.**
After peak readings of 30–33°C on August 3–4 driven by warm easterly advection and clear skies, European guidance from KNMI, ECMWF, and the Met Office shows a steady decline. Recent runs indicate daytime highs falling to around 20–22°C by August 7, with mostly fair conditions, light winds, and minimal precipitation that limits further warming or cooling extremes.
The tight clustering around 22°C (34%) and 23°C (38%) versus 24°C (15%) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any weak frontal influence—small differences in these variables can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the strong market weighting on 22–23°C aligns with the current short-range forecast consensus rather than climatology alone. New model updates and observational data through August 6 will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$876End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 7 high temperature centers on a post-heatwave cooling trend, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 22–23°C under moderating high pressure and a shift toward cooler northerly flow.**
After peak readings of 30–33°C on August 3–4 driven by warm easterly advection and clear skies, European guidance from KNMI, ECMWF, and the Met Office shows a steady decline. Recent runs indicate daytime highs falling to around 20–22°C by August 7, with mostly fair conditions, light winds, and minimal precipitation that limits further warming or cooling extremes.
The tight clustering around 22°C (34%) and 23°C (38%) versus 24°C (15%) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any weak frontal influence—small differences in these variables can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the strong market weighting on 22–23°C aligns with the current short-range forecast consensus rather than climatology alone. New model updates and observational data through August 6 will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$876End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 7 high temperature centers on a post-heatwave cooling trend, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 22–23°C under moderating high pressure and a shift toward cooler northerly flow.** After peak readings of 30–33°C on August 3–4 driven by warm easterly advection and clear skies, European guidance from KNMI, ECMWF, and the Met Office shows a steady decline. Recent runs indicate daytime highs falling to around 20–22°C by August 7, with mostly fair conditions, light winds, and minimal precipitation that limits further warming or cooling extremes. The tight clustering around 22°C (34%) and 23°C (38%) versus 24°C (15%) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, solar heating, and the timing of any weak frontal influence—small differences in these variables can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the strong market weighting on 22–23°C aligns with the current short-range forecast consensus rather than climatology alone. New model updates and observational data through August 6 will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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