Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 7 point to a maximum near 36–37°C amid lingering heat across northern Shandong, where the China Meteorological Administration has issued elevated warnings for the region. Coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover introduce downward pressure that caps upside risk above 38°C, while light southerly flow and high humidity support the market's tight clustering between 36°C and 37°C. An emerging El Niño pattern is elevating seasonal baselines above the long-term August average of 29–30°C, yet model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or increased marine influence. Updated numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will clarify whether peak readings hold near the upper end of the distribution or moderate slightly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 7?
37°C 34%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
12%
36°C
29%
37°C
34%
38°C
16%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 34%
36°C 29%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
12%
36°C
29%
37°C
34%
38°C
16%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 7 point to a maximum near 36–37°C amid lingering heat across northern Shandong, where the China Meteorological Administration has issued elevated warnings for the region. Coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover introduce downward pressure that caps upside risk above 38°C, while light southerly flow and high humidity support the market's tight clustering between 36°C and 37°C. An emerging El Niño pattern is elevating seasonal baselines above the long-term August average of 29–30°C, yet model runs remain sensitive to small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or increased marine influence. Updated numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will clarify whether peak readings hold near the upper end of the distribution or moderate slightly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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