Current short-range meteorological models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 30–31°C (87°F) for Qingdao on August 5 under overcast or partly cloudy skies, with moderating influences from Yellow Sea breezes and typical summer humidity near 70–80% suppressing extremes. Trader consensus favoring 34–35°C (over 70% combined implied probability) likely reflects allowance for model spread, potential late intensification of warm advection, or climatological potential for brief spikes above the August average of 29–30°C. Recent Northwest Pacific typhoon activity, including July’s above-average systems, has not produced lingering heat plumes over the Shandong coast, leaving limited upside beyond 36°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
36°C or higher 20%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
29%
35°C
42%
36°C or higher
20%
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
36°C or higher 20%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$138 Vol.
1%
32°C
$124 Vol.
3%
33°C
$145 Vol.
8%
34°C
$111 Vol.
29%
35°C
$1,312 Vol.
42%
36°C or higher
$147 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range meteorological models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 30–31°C (87°F) for Qingdao on August 5 under overcast or partly cloudy skies, with moderating influences from Yellow Sea breezes and typical summer humidity near 70–80% suppressing extremes. Trader consensus favoring 34–35°C (over 70% combined implied probability) likely reflects allowance for model spread, potential late intensification of warm advection, or climatological potential for brief spikes above the August average of 29–30°C. Recent Northwest Pacific typhoon activity, including July’s above-average systems, has not produced lingering heat plumes over the Shandong coast, leaving limited upside beyond 36°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$3,159End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range meteorological models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 30–31°C (87°F) for Qingdao on August 5 under overcast or partly cloudy skies, with moderating influences from Yellow Sea breezes and typical summer humidity near 70–80% suppressing extremes. Trader consensus favoring 34–35°C (over 70% combined implied probability) likely reflects allowance for model spread, potential late intensification of warm advection, or climatological potential for brief spikes above the August average of 29–30°C. Recent Northwest Pacific typhoon activity, including July’s above-average systems, has not produced lingering heat plumes over the Shandong coast, leaving limited upside beyond 36°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,159End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range meteorological models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 30–31°C (87°F) for Qingdao on August 5 under overcast or partly cloudy skies, with moderating influences from Yellow Sea breezes and typical summer humidity near 70–80% suppressing extremes. Trader consensus favoring 34–35°C (over 70% combined implied probability) likely reflects allowance for model spread, potential late intensification of warm advection, or climatological potential for brief spikes above the August average of 29–30°C. Recent Northwest Pacific typhoon activity, including July’s above-average systems, has not produced lingering heat plumes over the Shandong coast, leaving limited upside beyond 36°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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