Trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 5 maximum temperature centers on active southwest monsoon conditions, with forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicating 29–31°C amid generally cloudy skies and scattered rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while recent observations show daily highs fluctuating near 30°C. The close clustering of probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from model variations in rainfall timing and intensity, typical for peak monsoon when steering winds and convective activity can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but current wetter patterns support the market-implied tilt toward the lower end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 5?
30°C 37%
31°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
37%
31°C
27%
32°C
21%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 37%
31°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$35 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2 Vol.
19%
30°C
$23 Vol.
37%
31°C
$10 Vol.
27%
32°C
$31 Vol.
21%
33°C
$26 Vol.
10%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 5 maximum temperature centers on active southwest monsoon conditions, with forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicating 29–31°C amid generally cloudy skies and scattered rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while recent observations show daily highs fluctuating near 30°C. The close clustering of probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from model variations in rainfall timing and intensity, typical for peak monsoon when steering winds and convective activity can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but current wetter patterns support the market-implied tilt toward the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$70End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 5 maximum temperature centers on active southwest monsoon conditions, with forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicating 29–31°C amid generally cloudy skies and scattered rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while recent observations show daily highs fluctuating near 30°C. The close clustering of probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from model variations in rainfall timing and intensity, typical for peak monsoon when steering winds and convective activity can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but current wetter patterns support the market-implied tilt toward the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 5 maximum temperature centers on active southwest monsoon conditions, with forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicating 29–31°C amid generally cloudy skies and scattered rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while recent observations show daily highs fluctuating near 30°C. The close clustering of probabilities around 30–32°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from model variations in rainfall timing and intensity, typical for peak monsoon when steering winds and convective activity can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but current wetter patterns support the market-implied tilt toward the lower end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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