Current forecast models for August 2 in New York City project daily highs near seasonal norms of 81–83°F, with specific guidance pointing to 79–82°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This consensus arises from typical early-August atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and the absence of strong high-pressure ridges or frontal boundaries that could drive significant warming or cooling. Longer-range outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and the Climate Prediction Center note a slight lean toward near-average temperatures for the period, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on 80–85°F bins. Traders weigh these projections against historical variability at official stations like LaGuardia, where small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 2?
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 23%
86-87°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 23%
86-87°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
$91 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$100 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$72 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$78 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$159 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$248 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$583 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$177 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$52 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for August 2 in New York City project daily highs near seasonal norms of 81–83°F, with specific guidance pointing to 79–82°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This consensus arises from typical early-August atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and the absence of strong high-pressure ridges or frontal boundaries that could drive significant warming or cooling. Longer-range outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and the Climate Prediction Center note a slight lean toward near-average temperatures for the period, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on 80–85°F bins. Traders weigh these projections against historical variability at official stations like LaGuardia, where small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,647End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for August 2 in New York City project daily highs near seasonal norms of 81–83°F, with specific guidance pointing to 79–82°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This consensus arises from typical early-August atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and the absence of strong high-pressure ridges or frontal boundaries that could drive significant warming or cooling. Longer-range outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and the Climate Prediction Center note a slight lean toward near-average temperatures for the period, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on 80–85°F bins. Traders weigh these projections against historical variability at official stations like LaGuardia, where small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,647End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for August 2 in New York City project daily highs near seasonal norms of 81–83°F, with specific guidance pointing to 79–82°F amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This consensus arises from typical early-August atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and the absence of strong high-pressure ridges or frontal boundaries that could drive significant warming or cooling. Longer-range outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and the Climate Prediction Center note a slight lean toward near-average temperatures for the period, with limited model spread supporting the market’s concentration on 80–85°F bins. Traders weigh these projections against historical variability at official stations like LaGuardia, where small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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