Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to daily highs of 30–33°C for Karachi on August 3, driven by typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Arabian Sea with moderating sea breezes and high humidity. Below-normal rainfall projections for Sindh may allow clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures relative to the 31–32°C climatological average, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Model consensus remains stable, with limited spread in guidance from international and regional agencies, while any strengthening of onshore flow or localized convection could cap peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weight these factors heavily, pricing modest upside from baseline values given current atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 3?
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
45%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
27°C
$18 Vol.
1%
28°C
$18 Vol.
1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
1%
30°C
$13 Vol.
5%
31°C
$13 Vol.
7%
32°C
$44 Vol.
22%
33°C
$93 Vol.
45%
34°C
$51 Vol.
25%
35°C
$13 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$13 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to daily highs of 30–33°C for Karachi on August 3, driven by typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Arabian Sea with moderating sea breezes and high humidity. Below-normal rainfall projections for Sindh may allow clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures relative to the 31–32°C climatological average, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Model consensus remains stable, with limited spread in guidance from international and regional agencies, while any strengthening of onshore flow or localized convection could cap peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weight these factors heavily, pricing modest upside from baseline values given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to daily highs of 30–33°C for Karachi on August 3, driven by typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Arabian Sea with moderating sea breezes and high humidity. Below-normal rainfall projections for Sindh may allow clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures relative to the 31–32°C climatological average, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Model consensus remains stable, with limited spread in guidance from international and regional agencies, while any strengthening of onshore flow or localized convection could cap peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weight these factors heavily, pricing modest upside from baseline values given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks point to daily highs of 30–33°C for Karachi on August 3, driven by typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Arabian Sea with moderating sea breezes and high humidity. Below-normal rainfall projections for Sindh may allow clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures relative to the 31–32°C climatological average, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Model consensus remains stable, with limited spread in guidance from international and regional agencies, while any strengthening of onshore flow or localized convection could cap peaks near 32°C. Traders appear to weight these factors heavily, pricing modest upside from baseline values given current atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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