Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
26°C 30%
28°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
9%
26°C 30%
28°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
12%
25°C
$206 Vol.
22%
26°C
$5 Vol.
22%
27°C
$5 Vol.
21%
28°C
$44 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$125 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$460 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$872End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$872End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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