Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1 clustering around 37–38°C because current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering winds that favor typical midsummer heat without strong cooling from monsoon rains or cold fronts. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, with historical August peaks frequently reaching 35–40°C; recent late-July observations near 36–38°C and model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability keep 36–39°C outcomes dominant while assigning lower odds to 40°C-plus extremes that would require an unexpected intensification or clearer skies. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
37°C 33%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
15%
37°C
33%
38°C
31%
39°C
15%
40°C
11%
41°C
8%
42°C
3%
43°C
2%
44°C or higher
1%
37°C 33%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
$5 Vol.
10%
35°C
$5 Vol.
9%
36°C
$5 Vol.
15%
37°C
$8 Vol.
33%
38°C
$5 Vol.
31%
39°C
$0 Vol.
15%
40°C
$5 Vol.
11%
41°C
$5 Vol.
8%
42°C
$20 Vol.
3%
43°C
$20 Vol.
2%
44°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1 clustering around 37–38°C because current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering winds that favor typical midsummer heat without strong cooling from monsoon rains or cold fronts. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, with historical August peaks frequently reaching 35–40°C; recent late-July observations near 36–38°C and model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability keep 36–39°C outcomes dominant while assigning lower odds to 40°C-plus extremes that would require an unexpected intensification or clearer skies. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$83End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1 clustering around 37–38°C because current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering winds that favor typical midsummer heat without strong cooling from monsoon rains or cold fronts. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, with historical August peaks frequently reaching 35–40°C; recent late-July observations near 36–38°C and model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability keep 36–39°C outcomes dominant while assigning lower odds to 40°C-plus extremes that would require an unexpected intensification or clearer skies. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1 clustering around 37–38°C because current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering winds that favor typical midsummer heat without strong cooling from monsoon rains or cold fronts. Chongqing’s basin topography and high humidity amplify daytime maxima, with historical August peaks frequently reaching 35–40°C; recent late-July observations near 36–38°C and model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability keep 36–39°C outcomes dominant while assigning lower odds to 40°C-plus extremes that would require an unexpected intensification or clearer skies. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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