Current short-range forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses under a building ridge of high pressure and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads show modest variability from daytime cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which cap the precise peak and explain the near-even market weighting between 27°C and 28°C. Climatological August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly above normal, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C competitive while rendering extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely absent rapid pattern shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 37%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
12%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
23%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
3%
23°C
$20 Vol.
6%
24°C
$16 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$0 Vol.
16%
27°C
$11 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C or higher
$11 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses under a building ridge of high pressure and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads show modest variability from daytime cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which cap the precise peak and explain the near-even market weighting between 27°C and 28°C. Climatological August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly above normal, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C competitive while rendering extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely absent rapid pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$98End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses under a building ridge of high pressure and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads show modest variability from daytime cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which cap the precise peak and explain the near-even market weighting between 27°C and 28°C. Climatological August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly above normal, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C competitive while rendering extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely absent rapid pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses under a building ridge of high pressure and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads show modest variability from daytime cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which cap the precise peak and explain the near-even market weighting between 27°C and 28°C. Climatological August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly above normal, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C competitive while rendering extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely absent rapid pattern shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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