Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 30?
35°C 29%
36°C 25%
34°C 18%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
13%
34°C
18%
35°C
29%
36°C
25%
37°C or higher
18%
35°C 29%
36°C 25%
34°C 18%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$6 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C
$10 Vol.
29%
36°C
$21 Vol.
25%
37°C or higher
$11 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$48End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions