Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 29?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 29?
25°C 42%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
42%
26°C
25%
27°C or higher
4%
25°C 42%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
17°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$242 Vol.
4%
23°C
$367 Vol.
8%
24°C
$323 Vol.
22%
25°C
$841 Vol.
42%
26°C
$1,667 Vol.
25%
27°C or higher
$435 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,250End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,250End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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