**Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to an overnight low in the low 70s°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light easterly winds, and dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiational cooling.** Partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure are expected to keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with the ongoing September heat wave that has produced daily lows mostly in the mid-70s. Historical climatology shows an average low of 67°F, but the current pattern favors several degrees above normal. Key variables differentiating the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher market outcomes include any late-model shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or moisture return that could alter the cooling rate overnight. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
65°F or below
99%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84°F or higher
98%
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
99%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
38%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to an overnight low in the low 70s°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light easterly winds, and dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiational cooling.**
Partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure are expected to keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with the ongoing September heat wave that has produced daily lows mostly in the mid-70s. Historical climatology shows an average low of 67°F, but the current pattern favors several degrees above normal. Key variables differentiating the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher market outcomes include any late-model shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or moisture return that could alter the cooling rate overnight. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to an overnight low in the low 70s°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light easterly winds, and dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiational cooling.**
Partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure are expected to keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with the ongoing September heat wave that has produced daily lows mostly in the mid-70s. Historical climatology shows an average low of 67°F, but the current pattern favors several degrees above normal. Key variables differentiating the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher market outcomes include any late-model shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or moisture return that could alter the cooling rate overnight. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to an overnight low in the low 70s°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light easterly winds, and dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiational cooling.** Partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure are expected to keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with the ongoing September heat wave that has produced daily lows mostly in the mid-70s. Historical climatology shows an average low of 67°F, but the current pattern favors several degrees above normal. Key variables differentiating the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher market outcomes include any late-model shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or moisture return that could alter the cooling rate overnight. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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