Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Dallas on September 24, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s. Persistent warm advection from the south and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk favor outcomes near 92–95°F, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight model cooling could shift the daily maximum lower. Late-September climatology shows an average high near 87°F, but the current pattern reflects above-normal temperatures with limited variability expected before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and ensemble spreads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 24%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
85°F or below
10%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
11%
104°F or higher
9%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 24%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
85°F or below
$0 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$9 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
23%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
11%
104°F or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Dallas on September 24, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s. Persistent warm advection from the south and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk favor outcomes near 92–95°F, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight model cooling could shift the daily maximum lower. Late-September climatology shows an average high near 87°F, but the current pattern reflects above-normal temperatures with limited variability expected before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$9End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Dallas on September 24, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s. Persistent warm advection from the south and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk favor outcomes near 92–95°F, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight model cooling could shift the daily maximum lower. Late-September climatology shows an average high near 87°F, but the current pattern reflects above-normal temperatures with limited variability expected before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Dallas on September 24, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s. Persistent warm advection from the south and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk favor outcomes near 92–95°F, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight model cooling could shift the daily maximum lower. Late-September climatology shows an average high near 87°F, but the current pattern reflects above-normal temperatures with limited variability expected before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and ensemble spreads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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