Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 converge on a daily high near 32–33 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and lingering monsoon moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the main variables separating the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C bins: persistent afternoon rain would cap readings near the seasonal 31.3 °C average, while any break in clouds could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34 °C or the historical 34.5 °C record. Model updates from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these moisture and insolation projections, directly influencing trader positioning ahead of the market’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 24?
35°C 30%
34°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
24%
35°C
30%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 30%
34°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
27°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$7 Vol.
8%
32°C
$5 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
30%
36°C
$0 Vol.
20%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 converge on a daily high near 32–33 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and lingering monsoon moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the main variables separating the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C bins: persistent afternoon rain would cap readings near the seasonal 31.3 °C average, while any break in clouds could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34 °C or the historical 34.5 °C record. Model updates from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these moisture and insolation projections, directly influencing trader positioning ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 converge on a daily high near 32–33 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and lingering monsoon moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the main variables separating the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C bins: persistent afternoon rain would cap readings near the seasonal 31.3 °C average, while any break in clouds could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34 °C or the historical 34.5 °C record. Model updates from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these moisture and insolation projections, directly influencing trader positioning ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 24 converge on a daily high near 32–33 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and lingering monsoon moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the main variables separating the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C bins: persistent afternoon rain would cap readings near the seasonal 31.3 °C average, while any break in clouds could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34 °C or the historical 34.5 °C record. Model updates from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these moisture and insolation projections, directly influencing trader positioning ahead of the market’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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